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Live Polymarket odds on the questions UNREST tracks. Prices are probabilities set by traders, not forecasts by UNREST.
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Brazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro▲ +3 pts80%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva▼ −3 pts21%
$187.3M vol$1.9M 24hClosing
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot▼ −7 pts46%
- Benjamin Netanyahu▲ +4 pts33%
- Naftali Bennett▼ −1 pts14%
- Avigdor Lieberman▼ −0.2 pts2%
- +15 more outcomes
$48.4M vol$1.2M 24h9d left
Trending
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- October 18▲ +3 pts>99%
- October 22▲ +4 pts96%
- October 24▲ +4 pts92%
- +7 more outcomes
$16.5M vol$872.1K 24h8h left
Next French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen▲ +1 pts48%
- Édouard Philippe▲ +2 pts20%
- David Lisnard▲ +0.1 pts12%
- +39 more outcomes
$153.2M vol$784.3K 24hApr 19, 2027
Fed Decision in October?
- No change87%
- 25 bps increase14%
- 25 bps decrease<1%
- +2 more outcomes
$45.5M vol$595K 24h10d left
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?
>99%Chance · Yes$6.4M vol$507.2K 24hClosingBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
- Other50%
- Flávio Bolsonaro <4%▼ −1 pts40%
- Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%▲ +5 pts33%
- +6 more outcomes
$2.5M vol$453.4K 24h7d left
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- October 18▲ +2 pts>99%
- October 21▲ +2 pts97%
- October 31▲ +1 pts87%
- +3 more outcomes
$36.6M vol$451.9K 24h8h left
What price will Bitcoin hit October 12-18?
- ↓ 80,000▲ +12 pts28%
- ↑ 82,00023%
- ↓ 78,000▲ +0.1 pts3%
- +12 more outcomes
$1.4M vol$363.1K 24h8h leftWhat price will Bitcoin hit in October?
- ↓ 80,000▲ +9 pts84%
- ↑ 82,500▼ −8 pts78%
- ↓ 77,500▲ +6 pts48%
- +17 more outcomes
$8.4M vol$326.9K 24h13d left
Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?
- 360-379▲ +11 pts33%
- 340-359▲ +7 pts26%
- 380-399▼ −2 pts19%
- +9 more outcomes
$1.4M vol$298.4K 24h2d left
Presidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance▼ −0.5 pts20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff▲ +0.8 pts10%
- +51 more outcomes
$717.2M vol$295K 24hNov 8, 2028
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Democrats Sweep63%
- R Senate, D House28%
- Republicans Sweep9%
- +2 more outcomes
$24.8M vol$282.3K 24h16d leftWhat price will Bitcoin hit on October 18?
- ↓ 81,000>99%
- ↓ 80,00031%
- ↓ 79,0008%
- +12 more outcomes
$232.4K vol$233.8K 24h8h left
# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?
- 40-60M▲ +13 pts58%
- 60-80M▼ −5 pts43%
- 80-100M▼ −5 pts<1%
- +4 more outcomes
$353.7K vol$230K 24h4d leftElon Musk # tweets October 17 - October 19, 2026?
- 65-89▲ +32 pts69%
- 90-114▼ −0.5 pts17%
- 40-64▼ −23 pts13%
- +6 more outcomes
$317.1K vol$223.6K 24h20h left
What price will Ethereum hit October 12-18?
- ↑ 2,40055%
- ↓ 2,300▲ +30 pts35%
- ↓ 2,200▲ +0.6 pts2%
- +12 more outcomes
$899.5K vol$202.3K 24h8h leftBitcoin above ___ on October 19?
- 72,000>99%
- 74,000▲ +0.4 pts>99%
- 76,000▼ −0.1 pts>99%
- +8 more outcomes
$369.4K vol$196.4K 24h20h left
Highest temperature in Cape Town on October 18?
- 19°C or higher▲ +85 pts86%
- 16°C▼ −9 pts14%
- 18°C▼ −24 pts<1%
- +8 more outcomes
$208.5K vol$194.4K 24hClosing
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
5%▼ −1 ptsChance · Yes$27.5M vol$175.6K 24hJan 1, 2027
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Google▼ −2 pts76%
- Company A50%
- Company B50%
- +29 more outcomes
$2.9M vol$171.1K 24h13d left
Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?
- October 19▲ +4 pts87%
- October 21▲ +4 pts80%
- October 20▼ −0.5 pts76%
- +10 more outcomes
$463.6K vol$155.6K 24h1d left
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
16%Chance · Yes$74.6M vol$151.8K 24hJan 1, 2027
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
- J.D. Vance▲ +0.1 pts47%
- Marco Rubio▼ −0.1 pts13%
- +41 more outcomes
$712.7M vol$141.6K 24hNov 7, 2028
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