UNREST
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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$74.6M volume$151.3K 24h$497.5K liquidityJan 1, 2027
Yes · chance
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Order book · Yes

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Ends
1 Jan 2027
Resolution source
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Market data from Polymarket. UNREST is not affiliated with Polymarket and does not give financial advice.